I’ve mulled this over at length and have also brought up on many past occasions the topic of potential military intervention in American civil government. In light of today’s events in Washington, D.C., this topic is now more relevant than ever. I find it curious that neither side in the ongoing tug of war has attempted to invoke the full might of the U.S. armed forces in settling the election dispute, although the temptation to do so must be overwhelming.
I am quite sure that Trump has not “crossed the Rubicon” using armed force, although he and everyone who supports him knows that he would be fully justified in doing so and that is reaching a point of “now or never,” because he simply has no way of knowing with any certainty whether or not the Secretary of Defense or the Generals and Admirals will obey his order, or, even if they did and gave the orders to the troops, if there would be mutiny in the ranks. The Defense Establishment itself, at least the upper echelons of it, have always generally been anti-Trump, would almost certainly resist any such order from the president, but probably are aware that massive sections of the rank and file would respond and attempt to carry it out. They might even attempt to arrest their superior officers who ordered them to disobey the president. Conversely, even if the brass DID issue the order, there are HUGH cross sections of the armed forces that consist of “affirmative action hires,” people who by their background and class are anti-Trump and who would mutiny if ordered to “cross the Rubicon.” Simply stated, there would be chaos if military intervention were to be ordered.
Some will say “but the National Guard was ordered to Washington today.” True, but as of this writing, they have not taken up positions within the Capitol and it is far from certain that they would be able to effectively contain any additional unrest, especially given the massive numbers of protestors present. Also, given that the NG was, shall we say, “less than effective” at controlling violence and unrest over the Spring and Summer in U.S. cities where ANTIFABLM ran rampant, it would put the Guard in a VERY awkward position to suddenly have become effective against hundreds of thousands, if not millions of armed, angry citizens who were demonstrating in a much less destructive fashion than the much smaller woke mobs of 2020. Indeed, given that guardsmen are ordinary citizens who “play soldier” for a few weeks of the year, it’s difficult to imagine them being 1)sufficient in number to contain a large uprising, or 2) amenable to gunning down people who are fighting for what many of them also believe in and who are very likely their neighbors.
The question of Special Forces arises here, and it’s a good question. It’s difficult to say to what extent they can be relied upon to do political “dirty work” domestically. Special Operations teams have frequently be used as tools of Deep State operations, but it is also well known that the military personnel of these forces DESPISE the civilian and QUANGO Deep State organizations (most prominently, the CIA) under whose command they are often placed and whose missions they are ordered to carry out. With that said, it remains to be seen how they would react to being used by a president to wage what will be domestic warfare on U.S. soil. This is very much uncharted territory.
Finally, there is the question of whether an appeal can be made to the military personnel’s Oaths of Enlistment/Commissioning, specifically their prime directive to “defend the Constitution of the United States against all enemies, foreign AND DOMESTIC.” Personally, I believe this to be a vain hope, as most members of the armed forces pay no attention whatsoever to the oath, even as they are regurgitating it during their enlistment or commissioning ceremonies. Most of them are serving for a paycheck and think nothing of blindly following whatever orders are given them. Not all, but a majority of them simply are not aware of the true and lawful purpose of their service. Whether or not this changes as conditions deteriorate and their own futures come into question remains to be seen.
In summary, even though I spent 20 years in uniform I have no more idea than anyone else how the military would respond to a presidential order to implement martial law or take up arms against their fellow Americans. While I would like to think that the reality of what is happening now would give some pause and lead them to seriously think about whose side they would prefer to be on if the government declares war against the People, I cannot even make a reasonable guess as to how many would actually do so. For this reason I believe there is no real option other than to consider all of them “the enemy” until they prove themselves otherwise. Apparently that’s how both President Trump AND his enemies view them as well.